10 mental models to think clearly and make better

10 mental models to think clearly and make better

short answer

Mental models simplify and help you understand the world. The most useful mental models do not tell you what to think. They train you how to think by giving you better ways to prioritize, question assumptions, see blind spots, and choose what matters.

watch the video

This article is adapted from my video, 10 Mental Models Explained. Watch the video if you want the full walkthrough of all 10 models and how they connect to problem-solving, business decisions, and everyday thinking.

resources

the 10-second version

mental model

what it helps you do

use this when

question to ask

80/20 rule

prioritize the few actions that create most results

everything feels equally important

Which 20% of effort creates 80% of the outcome?

theory of constraints

find the bottleneck slowing the whole system

you are busy but not making progress

What is the weakest part of this system?

first principles

break a problem down to fundamental truths

the situation feels too complex or noisy

What is true here, and what am I assuming?

Occam’s razor

choose the explanation with fewer assumptions

you have too many theories

What is the simplest explanation that fits?

Hock principle

use simple principles instead of complex rules

people are overcomplicating execution

What simple purpose or principle should guide behavior?

interest-based counting

see the real players and incentives

people may not be acting alone

Whose interests are actually aligned here?

via negativa

improve by subtracting what hurts you

adding more is not working

What should I remove?

inversion

solve backward from what you want to avoid

you feel stuck going forward

What would guarantee failure?

relativity

look from outside the system

you cannot see the full picture

What can an observer see that I cannot?

velocity vs speed

move in the right direction, not just faster

there is pressure to hurry

Am I moving toward the goal or just moving fast?

the real problem

The hard part of mental models is rarely understanding the definition.

The hard part is knowing how to use them.

When I first started learning mental models, that was the most difficult thing for me. I could read the model. I could understand the example. But I did not always know how to put the models together or apply them to daily life.

That is why this article is organized around use.

The first five mental models help you simplify complexity:

  1. 80/20 rule.

  2. Theory of constraints.

  3. First principles.

  4. Occam’s razor.

  5. Hock principle.

The next five help you see reality differently:

  1. Interest-based counting.

  2. Via negativa.

  3. Inversion.

  4. Relativity.

  5. Velocity vs speed.

Mental models are frameworks and structures that help us understand the world. They shape how we think and how we make decisions.

But they are for how to think, not what to think.

The point is not to memorize clever concepts. The point is to have better questions ready when the world gets messy.

For my latest updates on the difference between mental models vs. frameworks, watch Mental Models vs Frameworks.

model 1: 80/20 rule

The 80/20 rule is a rule of uneven distribution.

Roughly 80% of your results often come from 20% of your efforts.

Since everyone has only 24 hours a day, the people who can prioritize and focus their efforts on the right things are usually able to achieve more.

In the video, I say this rule was drilled into my head from my management consulting background. It became the first filter I applied to any problem:

  1. How do I prioritize?

  2. How do I structure the problem?

  3. Which part matters most?

You can use it in a very simple way.

Take your to-do list and identify the 20% of tasks that will give you 80% of the results in terms of getting you closer to your goal.

Most of us have a tendency to focus on the easy things on our to-do list. It feels good to cross things off quickly. But those things are usually not the ones that take us closer to our goals.

Momentum matters, but momentum alone is not the same as progress.

Use the 80/20 rule when you need to ask:

What is the small set of actions that will create the most meaningful result
What is the small set of actions that will create the most meaningful result
What is the small set of actions that will create the most meaningful result

model 2: theory of constraints

The natural question after the 80/20 rule is:

How do I know which 20% matters
How do I know which 20% matters
How do I know which 20% matters

That is where the theory of constraints helps.

The theory of constraints says that a system is only as strong as its weakest part. For the system to succeed, you need to identify the bottleneck: the constraint where the flow is slowed or stopped.

The bottleneck might be small, but it can have disproportionate impact on the system as a whole.

In the video, I use the example of when I first started my business. I felt really stuck. I was doing all these things but not seeing results, and I did not know why.

One question helped:

What is the one thing I need to do but I am putting off
What is the one thing I need to do but I am putting off
What is the one thing I need to do but I am putting off

For me, the bottleneck was talking to real users with the problem I was trying to solve.

I knew I had to get market validation, but I made up all kinds of excuses:

I am in the market.
I know the market well.
I know exactly what people are looking for

I am in the market.
I know the market well.
I know exactly what people are looking for

I am in the market.
I know the market well.
I know exactly what people are looking for

Meanwhile, I was spending time on the 80% that did not really create results: building a beautiful brand guide, making a beautiful website, finding the perfect business name.

The bottleneck was not branding.

The bottleneck was talking to people who had the problem of not being able to articulate their business, so I could understand whether they had message-market fit.

Once I did that, I got feedback that helped me make effective decisions and know where to go with the business.

Looking for the bottleneck is one of the best ways to find the 20% of effort that gives you 80% of the impact.

model 3: first principles

First principles thinking helps you train your brain to think from the fundamental level.

When you face a complex situation, break it down into:

  1. Fundamental truths.

  2. Assumptions.

The assumptions are usually what lead us astray.

To solve something complex, you want to understand the essence of the problem, then reason up from there.

Charlie Munger has a simple way of reminding us how to do this:

Look for the no-brainers
Look for the no-brainers
Look for the no-brainers

For example, if you want to improve profitability, one first principle from business is:

profit = revenue - cost
profit = revenue - cost
profit = revenue - cost

It does not matter what the industry is. It does not matter what size the business is. Profit comes back to those two components:

  1. Revenue.

  2. Cost.

Of course, the details can still be complicated. There may be interdependencies. There may be many reasons revenue is not growing or cost is too high.

But first principles give you a place to begin.

Ask:

What is fundamentally true here?
What am I assuming?
If I stripped away the noise, what would remain

What is fundamentally true here?
What am I assuming?
If I stripped away the noise, what would remain

What is fundamentally true here?
What am I assuming?
If I stripped away the noise, what would remain

model 4: Occam’s razor

Occam’s razor says that when there are multiple explanations for a situation, the simplest explanation is more likely to be true.

In practice, it means:

Base your decision-making on the explanation with the fewest assumptions
Base your decision-making on the explanation with the fewest assumptions
Base your decision-making on the explanation with the fewest assumptions

This connects directly to first principles.

If first principles help you separate truths from assumptions, Occam’s razor helps you avoid building a decision on too many assumptions.

When a project is failing, you might have five theories:

  1. The audience is wrong.

  2. The offer is unclear.

  3. The timing is bad.

  4. The team is misaligned.

  5. The strategy is broken.

Some of those may be true. But before you build a complicated story, ask which explanation requires the fewest assumptions.

Maybe people simply do not understand the offer.

Maybe the decision owner was never clear.

Maybe the work was never scoped properly.

This does not mean the simplest answer is always correct. It means the simplest answer that fits the evidence should be taken seriously before you reach for a more complicated one.

model 5: Hock principle

The Hock principle comes from Dee Hock, founder and former CEO of Visa.

The idea is:

Simple, clear purpose and principles give rise to complex and intelligent behavior.
Complex rules and regulations give rise to simple and stupid behavior

Simple, clear purpose and principles give rise to complex and intelligent behavior.
Complex rules and regulations give rise to simple and stupid behavior

Simple, clear purpose and principles give rise to complex and intelligent behavior.
Complex rules and regulations give rise to simple and stupid behavior

You can feel this inside organizations.

When people are guided by a clear purpose and simple principles, they can make intelligent decisions without needing a rule for every possible situation.

But when people are buried under complex rules and regulations, they often stop thinking. They follow the rule even when the rule creates a worse outcome.

This is why organizations that treat people like kids who do not understand what is going on can hurt themselves in the long run.

Use the Hock principle when you work with others:

What simple purpose should guide us?
What principles should people use when the situation changes?
Where are rules replacing judgment

What simple purpose should guide us?
What principles should people use when the situation changes?
Where are rules replacing judgment

What simple purpose should guide us?
What principles should people use when the situation changes?
Where are rules replacing judgment

You can also use it on yourself.

Hold yourself to a higher standard with the line often attributed to Einstein:

If you cannot explain it simply, you do not understand it

If you cannot explain it simply, you do not understand it

If you cannot explain it simply, you do not understand it

model 6: interest-based counting

Interest-based counting comes from game theory.

Imagine a poker table with five people sitting around it. There are chips. There are cards ready to be dealt.

How many players are there?

The obvious answer is five.

But that misses something crucial for decision-making: the interests at hand.

If two players form an alliance and agree to share winnings and losses, the way they play the game will be different. If you judge what is happening as if there are five separate interests, your understanding will be distorted.

The house also has an opposing interest.

So how many players are there?

It is more complicated than the number of people sitting at the table.

Use this when you are negotiating, looking for a promotion, competing for resources, or trying to understand workplace dynamics.

Ask:

Who is visibly in the room?
Whose interests are aligned?
Who benefits if this decision goes one way?
Who benefits if it goes another

Who is visibly in the room?
Whose interests are aligned?
Who benefits if this decision goes one way?
Who benefits if it goes another

Who is visibly in the room?
Whose interests are aligned?
Who benefits if this decision goes one way?
Who benefits if it goes another

The number of people is not always the same as the number of interests.

model 7: via negativa

Via negativa is Latin for focusing on what something is not.

A practical version of this advice is:

To succeed, avoid doing something stupid.

When something is not working, most of us ask:

What can I add?
What can I do differently?
What new thing will make this better

What can I add?
What can I do differently?
What new thing will make this better

What can I add?
What can I do differently?
What new thing will make this better

Adding can help. But sometimes the better move is subtraction.

What people often underestimate is how much progress can come from removing what creates drag.

For example, improving your information diet may have less to do with adding more useful information and more to do with removing information that makes your thinking noisy.

The same principle can apply to meetings, habits, strategy, health, writing, and decision-making.

Ask:

What should I stop consuming?
What should I stop doing?
What should I remove before I add anything new

What should I stop consuming?
What should I stop doing?
What should I remove before I add anything new

What should I stop consuming?
What should I stop doing?
What should I remove before I add anything new

Via negativa helps you improve by subtraction.

model 8: inversion

Most of us are trained to think from the beginning to the end.

Inversion asks you to think backward.

Instead of only asking:

How do I 
How do I 
How do I 

Ask:

What would guarantee failure
What would guarantee failure
What would guarantee failure

This is powerful because it reveals obstacles you may not see when you only think forward.

If you want a better presentation, ask:

What would make this presentation confusing, boring, or impossible to act on
What would make this presentation confusing, boring, or impossible to act on
What would make this presentation confusing, boring, or impossible to act on

If you want a better decision, ask:

What would make this decision obviously bad six months from now
What would make this decision obviously bad six months from now
What would make this decision obviously bad six months from now

If you want a clearer strategy, ask:

What would make this strategy fail even if everyone worked hard
What would make this strategy fail even if everyone worked hard
What would make this strategy fail even if everyone worked hard

You can also combine inversion with via negativa:

List all the things you do not want so you can see what you do want
List all the things you do not want so you can see what you do want
List all the things you do not want so you can see what you do want

Inversion is especially useful when you feel stuck because it gives your brain a different entrance into the problem.

model 9: relativity

Relativity gives us the idea that we cannot fully understand a system that we are part of.

In the video, I use the airplane example.

If you are on a plane, you do not feel like you are moving at 900 kilometers an hour because you are moving at the same speed as the plane.

But an observer can see how fast the plane is moving because they are not part of that system.

This applies to everyday life more often than we want to admit.

There are many moments where we cannot see the fuller picture because we are inside the system.

That is why you should not be too quick to write off different perspectives.

When people say something you disagree with, that is often where the gold is. It may reveal a blind spot in your understanding of the world.

Ask:

What can someone outside this system see that I cannot?
What am I too close to notice?
What perspective am I dismissing because it feels uncomfortable

What can someone outside this system see that I cannot?
What am I too close to notice?
What perspective am I dismissing because it feels uncomfortable

What can someone outside this system see that I cannot?
What am I too close to notice?
What perspective am I dismissing because it feels uncomfortable

Relativity helps you remember that your view is always from somewhere.

model 10: velocity vs speed

Our society loves to glorify going fast.

But speed and velocity are not the same thing.

Speed is how fast you go.

Velocity is how fast you go to get somewhere.

That difference matters.

You can move backward really fast, but that does not help you get where you want to go.

Use this model whenever you feel pressure to hurry.

Ask:

Where am I actually trying to go?
Is this action moving me toward that direction?
Am I optimizing for motion or progress

Where am I actually trying to go?
Is this action moving me toward that direction?
Am I optimizing for motion or progress

Where am I actually trying to go?
Is this action moving me toward that direction?
Am I optimizing for motion or progress

This is especially useful for ambitious people because fast movement can feel productive even when the direction is wrong.

Velocity reminds you to care about direction, not just pace.

try this

Use this exercise the next time you feel stuck, overwhelmed, or unclear.

1. Name the problem
What decision, project, or situation feels messy?

2. Use 80/20
Which few actions could create most of the result?

3. Find the bottleneck
What is the one thing slowing everything else down?

4. Check first principles
What is true, and what are you assuming?

5. Simplify with Occam's razor
What is the simplest explanation that fits the evidence?

6. Subtract with via negativa
What should you stop doing before adding more?

7. Invert
What would guarantee failure?

8. Check velocity
Is this moving you toward the goal or just making you busy

1. Name the problem
What decision, project, or situation feels messy?

2. Use 80/20
Which few actions could create most of the result?

3. Find the bottleneck
What is the one thing slowing everything else down?

4. Check first principles
What is true, and what are you assuming?

5. Simplify with Occam's razor
What is the simplest explanation that fits the evidence?

6. Subtract with via negativa
What should you stop doing before adding more?

7. Invert
What would guarantee failure?

8. Check velocity
Is this moving you toward the goal or just making you busy

1. Name the problem
What decision, project, or situation feels messy?

2. Use 80/20
Which few actions could create most of the result?

3. Find the bottleneck
What is the one thing slowing everything else down?

4. Check first principles
What is true, and what are you assuming?

5. Simplify with Occam's razor
What is the simplest explanation that fits the evidence?

6. Subtract with via negativa
What should you stop doing before adding more?

7. Invert
What would guarantee failure?

8. Check velocity
Is this moving you toward the goal or just making you busy

If you only use one question, use this:

What is the one thing I need to do but I am putting off?

That question often reveals the bottleneck.

common mistakes

  1. Collecting mental models without applying them. Mental models are only useful when they change the questions you ask and the decisions you make.

  2. Using the wrong model for the problem. If the issue is prioritization, use 80/20 or theory of constraints. If the issue is perspective, use relativity or inversion.

  3. Confusing simple with simplistic. The goal is to remove unnecessary assumptions, not flatten the problem until it becomes inaccurate.

  4. Moving fast without checking direction. Speed feels good, but velocity asks whether the movement is taking you where you actually want to go.

🧪 why mental models?

Mental models help because your brain needs compression.

Most problems have too many details to hold at once. A good mental model gives you a structure that reduces the noise without removing what matters.

The 80/20 rule and theory of constraints help you prioritize. First principles and Occam’s razor help you simplify. The Hock principle helps you replace overcomplicated rules with clearer purpose and principles.

Interest-based counting, via negativa, inversion, relativity, and velocity vs speed help you see what your default perspective might miss.

The value is not in memorizing the names.

The value is in having better questions available when you need them:

What is the bottleneck?
What am I assuming?
What should I remove?
What would guarantee failure?
Am I moving in the right direction

What is the bottleneck?
What am I assuming?
What should I remove?
What would guarantee failure?
Am I moving in the right direction

What is the bottleneck?
What am I assuming?
What should I remove?
What would guarantee failure?
Am I moving in the right direction

That is how mental models become practical tools for clear thinking.

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